Lok Sabha Elections 2014: A Tracker Poll
In the run up to the Lok Sabha elections scheduled for 2014, Lokniti-Centre for the Study of Developing Societies (CSDS) conducted a countrywide study in the last week of June 2013. The main aim of this exercise is to track the mood of the nation, regularly on key socio political and economic issues right up to the national parliamentary elections which is due in 2014. The project began with a grand nationwide study with a sample size of 19,062 respondents spread across 1120 locations 267 randomly selected Parliamentary constituencies in 18 States of India. This large-scale first round sample will be followed by smaller-sized surveys every few months in 11-13 states culminating in the customary National Election Study that CSDS conducts during every Lok Sabha election. During each of these smaller rounds, surveys will be conducted in all the major states, that is, those states which have 25 Lok Sabha seats or more. Apart from these â€˜permanentâ€™ states that we will go to in every round, surveys will also be conducted in two additional states every month starting from September 2013.
The survey was designed and analysed by a team of researchers at Lokniti, CSDS. The team included Anuradha Singh, Ashish Ranjan, Dhananjai Kumar Singh, K.A.Q.A Hilal, Kanchan Malhotra, Jyoti Mishra, Nitin Mehta, Shreyas Sardesai and Vibha Attri. The work of computer analysis of the data was completed by Himanshu Bhattacharya. The conversion of vote share estimate into seat for alliance and parties both at national and state level was done by Prof. Rajeeva Karandikar of Chennai Mathematical Institute, Chennai. Prof. Suhas Palshikar and Prof. Sandeep Shastri provided their suggestions during the entire exercise. The survey was directed at the national level by Sanjay Kumar.
The survey was coordinated by scholars from the Lokniti Network: E Venkatesu (Andhra Pradesh), Subhrajeet Konwar (Assam), Rakesh Ranjan (Bihar), Anupama Saxena and Shamshad Ansari (Chhattisgarh), Biswajeet Mohanty (Delhi), Bhanu Parmar and Mahashweta Jani (Gujarat), Kushal Pal (Haryana) , Harishwar Dayal (Jharkhand), Sandeep Shastri, Veena Devi and Reetika Syal (Karnataka), Sajad Ibrahim (Kerala), Yatindra Singh Sisodia (Madhya Pradesh), Nitin Birmal (Maharashtra), Prabhat Mohanty (Orissa), Jagroop Singh Sekhon (Punjab), Sanjay Lodha and Nidhi Jain (Rajasthan), Ramajayam (Tamil Nadu), A.K. Verma, Asmer Beg, and Sudhir Kumar (Uttar Pradesh) and Suprio Basu (West Bengal) .
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