About the Survey
A pre-election survey was conducted in Himachal Pradesh by Lokniti, Centre for the Study of Developing Societies (CSDS), Delhi, for ABP News. The survey was conducted from October 21 through October 27, 2017 among 2,815 voters in 115 locations (polling stations) spread across 30 assembly constituencies (the State has a total of 68 assembly constituencies). The sampling design adopted was multi-stage random sampling. The assembly constituencies where the survey was conducted were randomly selected using the probability proportional to size method. Thereafter, four polling stations within each of the sampled constituencies were selected using the systematic random sampling method. Finally, the respondents were also randomly selected from the electoral rolls of the sampled polling stations. The field investigators conducted face-to-face interviews of the respondents in Hindi asking them a set of standardized questions. The duration of an interview was about 30 minutes. The survey could not be conducted at 5 locations. At some locations the non-availability of sampled respondents or difficulty in finding households necessitated replacements or substitutions. The achieved raw sample is quite representative of Himachal Pradesh’s population profile. It has nevertheless been weighted by gender, locality, religion, and caste group based on Census 2011. The poll has an overall margin of error of plus or minus 2.6 points. The error margin increases for cross-tabulations.
Profile of Achieved Sample
|Survey Sample (raw) (%)||Census 2011 (%)|